BullBear Trading: Stock and Financial Market Technical Analysis

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Current Orientation on U.S. Stocks

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Cryptocurrency/Bitcoin:

Short term-Bullish, Intermediate term-Bullish, Long term-Bullish

Crude Oil:

Short term-Bearish, Intermediate term-Bearish, Long term-Bearish

Treasury and Bond Yields:

Short term-Bearish, Intermediate term-Neutral, Long Term-Neutral

Gold:

Short term-Bullish, Intermediate Term-Bullish, Long Term-Bullish


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The Slow Turn of the Long Wave:

(This is the introduction to the latest BullBear Market Report)

 

At the December bottom I turned intermediate term bullish for the start of the final 5th wave of the Long Wave, anticipating a rally back towards the high. On the back of the Fed capitulation on its rate hiking cycle and balance sheet normalization program, most of the market has recaptured its January 2018 high and some sectors and indices have exceeded the September all-time highs. After a better than 26% gain on the S&P 500 off the December low, there are significant technical indications that the market is ready to retrace 38.2-50% of the gains in a Wave 2 of 5 correction. The top has taken quite a while to play out with a gradual loss of momentum over the last two months. Many areas of the market have logged large bear RSI divergences on the daily and weekly charts and have started to roll over and the short term topping formations are starting to break down. More importantly, particularly for the longer term view, is that all indices and sectors that did log higher monthly closes above the previous all-time high montly close did so by logging large bear monthly RSI divergences between the January 2018, September 2018 and April 2019 highs. A series of monthly bear divergences is a clear warning sign that a long term top is in the process of building.

Go here to continue reading the full blog post

 

The rest of this report is reserved for subscribers and focuses on technical analysis of price charts and indicators in stocks, bonds and additional fundamental analysis and conclusions for traders and investors for the short, intermediate, long and very long term.

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Blog Posts

The Slow Turn of the Long Wave: Time for a Bull Market Correction

Posted by Steven Vincent on May 7, 2019 at 12:44pm 0 Comments

(This is the introduction to the latest BullBear Market Report)

 

At the December bottom I turned intermediate term bullish for the start of the final 5th wave of the Long Wave, anticipating a rally back towards the high. On the back of the Fed capitulation on its rate hiking cycle and balance sheet normalization program, most of the market…

Continue

The Long Wave, the Slow Turn and the Mother of All Bear Markets

Posted by Steven Vincent on January 16, 2019 at 10:00pm 0 Comments

(This is the introduction to the latest BullBear Market Report)

As 2017 emerged into the following year I noted that the big cap indices had shown characteristics of a parabolic blow-off run since the November 2016 election.  Technical analysts know that when a market is running persistently above trend, a significant mean reversion is…

Continue

Trading An Oversold Market

Posted by Bryan Leighton on December 26, 2018 at 1:46pm 0 Comments

Almost everyone in the trading business is talking about an oversold market at this stage of the game. Stocks are now entering correction territory and there could still be more selling down the road. Generally, some of the best rallies come during a bear market and this makes many traders such as myself willing to take a shot at the long side when stocks are so low. Unfortunately, the stock bounces that we have seen lately have been met with heavy selling pressure. Often, traders will…

Continue

NASDAQ 100 $QQQ Upside Target & Short Trigger

Posted by Bryan Leighton on November 7, 2018 at 3:14pm 0 Comments

The NASDAQ 100 is surging today following the Democrats retaking the House. The reason for the rally? Just days ago, President Trump threatened to file anti-trust cases against the big tech companies and claim they were monopolies. Investors believe that the Democrats will neutralize that threat in the near-term. As tech surges higher, investors should be ready to pull the trigger on the short side when price hits $178.00. This is a major technical resistance and all technical chart…

Continue

Forum

On Days Like This Watch For Stocks That Are Showing Relative Strength $SBUX

Started by Bryan Leighton in General Market Discussion Jan 22. 0 Replies

Today, all of the major stock indexes are declining sharply lower falling by more than 1.0 percent on the session. This decline comes after a huge rally that started on December 26, 2018 and lead to…Continue

Options Expiration Week Is A Time For Institutional Game Playing

Started by Bryan Leighton in General Market Discussion Jan 14. 0 Replies

This coming Friday is options expiration for the month of January. Usually, the trading week leading into options expiration is filled with a lot of game playing by the institutional crowd. This is…Continue

Video Game Stocks Are under Selling Pressure, Here's The Next Trade $ATVI

Started by Bryan Leighton in General Market Discussion Dec 3, 2018. 0 Replies

As you know, all of the leading video game developers have been under selling pressure since October 2018. Video game developer stocks such as Activision Blizzard Inc (NASDAQ:ATVI), Electronic Arts…Continue

Kind Words From BullBear Trading Members

Started by Steven Vincent in General Market Discussion. Last reply by Steven Vincent Nov 1, 2018. 22 Replies

 I receive many unsolicited comments from appreciative BullBear Traders.  I really do work very hard to "keep you on the right side of the markets" so it makes my day to receive such kind, sincere…Continue

 
 
 

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