BullBear Trading: Stock and Financial Market Technical Analysis

Steven Vincent's Blog (115)

Will the Euro Collapse?

Source Link: http://www.thebullbear.com/profiles/blogs/will-the-euro-collapse

Will the Euro Collapse?

Trading a true currency collapse is a rare opportunity. Most market participants are familiar with the story of George Soros and his ride to prominence on the back of the collapse of the British Pound. Is it possible that a similar opportunity may present itself soon in the form of a collapse of…

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Added by Steven Vincent on January 24, 2012 at 5:00pm — No Comments

11/01/11 BullBear Market Report

The market got spooked by the collapse of a minor brokerage firm, MF Global. Perhaps an appropriate Halloween reaction of -2.5% occurred as the firm's demise was at least partially linked to losses stemming from the European debt crisis. Just two sessions earlier, markets spiked on news that a deal had been struck on Greek debt and the "recapitalization" (bailout) of European banks. At this time all of that spike move has been given back.  News that Greece is planning a referendum on its…

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Added by Steven Vincent on November 1, 2011 at 7:18pm — No Comments

Review of World Stock Markets

This is a follow up/addendum to the most recent BBMR:

07/24/11 BullBear Market Report

 

Here's a video review of major global equities markets. 

 

(Click the expansion button to watch in full screen mode or click "YouTube" to watch it on YouTube in fullscreen.  HD quality can also be selected.  If you can't see the video embeds try refreshing…

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Added by Steven Vincent on August 28, 2011 at 10:00pm — No Comments

Gloom Today, Boom Tomorrow?

The crash which I called for in my June reports came a month later than expected and the wave count has developed very much as anticipated at that time.  In my favored count, SPX is nearing the end of its initial A wave decline of a large 3 part E wave which should end the bear market.

Here's my long term monthly SPX chart:…

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Added by Steven Vincent on August 19, 2011 at 1:00am — 3 Comments

Interbank Credit Markets Show Low Systemic Risk

At this time the stock markets have been consolidating in a sideways pattern for nearly six months.  The pattern appears to have completed or is near completion coincident with the development of significant watershed moments in the US and European debt situations.  It also corresponds with the heart of earnings season (and the resolution of the NFL players lockout, the latter being of the highest order of importance to this trader :] ).  The pattern, whether viewed from an Elliott Wave or…
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Added by Steven Vincent on July 30, 2011 at 3:47pm — No Comments

Is Brazil Putting Up A Bearish Warning Flag?

Brazil's Bovespa stock market index closed at fresh lows today.  It's rally off the early July low was far weaker than that of most other major world markets.  A look at the chart shows that a significant level of support going back to October of 2009 was violated in today's selloff.

In fact, the index is just a day's trade away from taking out its May 2010 lows.…

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Added by Steven Vincent on July 12, 2011 at 1:00am — No Comments

Initial Stages of Global Stock Market Crash In Progress?

Last week SPX appeared to complete an abc sideways correction.  By Friday the index was heading back towards its lows and ended the day and the week just above critical support at the confluence of the 200 EMA and the uptrend from March 2009.  The setup is for a potential gap below this support zone on Monday, which could then trigger sell stops leading to a cascading decline.

Commodities continued to lead to the downside, with Crude breaking lower and the Agriculture and Grains…

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Added by Steven Vincent on June 26, 2011 at 8:00pm — No Comments

Stock Market Crash Possible Soon?

There are significant signals in the current market that a crash or meltdown scenario could unfold sometime in the next 1-2 weeks. Crashes are rare events and nearly impossible to predict, but many elements that could combine to produce a financial market calamity appear to be present at this time.

The video below reviews the current technical condition of the major world stock markets.  In it I examine each index in terms of the relationship between price and the uptrends from March…

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Added by Steven Vincent on June 14, 2011 at 11:00pm — 1 Comment

Potential Long Term Topping Process Underway

(The following is an updated excerpt from the latest BullBear Market Report for BullBear Traders members):

 

 

Since the February high, market participants have been subjected to a stream of weak and worsening fundamental economic data.  In the last week since the June 1st high, this trend appears to have…

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Added by Steven Vincent on June 9, 2011 at 6:54pm — 8 Comments

Time To Refresh Your View of the Markets?

 

(The following is the Introduction to the latest BullBear Market Report for BullBear Traders members)

 

In the last BullBear Market Report, I called for a significant correction to begin and announced that I had closed…

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Added by Steven Vincent on May 30, 2011 at 2:31am — No Comments

Significant Market Correction In Progress Now

 

I've been long SPX since the September 2010 bottom and an aggressive buyer on pullbacks.  Today I exited all long trades and went to 100% cash and then even took on a small short position.  My current analysis shows ample reason to conclude that stocks and commodities are in the early stages of a significant correction.  Here's my SPX trading record for…

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Added by Steven Vincent on May 13, 2011 at 10:00pm — 1 Comment

Key Indexes at New All Time Highs

05/01/11 BullBear Market Report

by Steven Vincent

BullBear Trading

 

INTRODUCTION

 

In the last BullBear Market Report, I called for a minor near term correction to support that would be a buying opportunity, and we got just that.  The market…

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Added by Steven Vincent on April 30, 2011 at 8:00pm — No Comments

Trading the March 2011 Bottom

 

A few times a year, I like to release the complete text of an edition of my BullBear Market Report.  Here's the report issued on March 17th in which I called the bottom to the Middle East/Japan panic sell off (after having previously identified the February top).  Following the report are some of my subsequent updates to the report with comments and questions from BullBear Traders members.  I hope this helps you in your trading and investing.

 

Steven…

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Added by Steven Vincent on April 10, 2011 at 10:30pm — No Comments

04/04/11 BullBear Market Report



INTRODUCTION

 

In the last BullBear Market Report, I called for a bottom to the Middle East/Japan panic selloff while at the same time laying out the parameters for a bearish turn in the markets.  The bearish conditions did not come to fruition and BullBear Traders were able to catch the exact bottom of the move after having lightened their positions at…

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Added by Steven Vincent on April 5, 2011 at 7:35pm — No Comments

Buying Opportunity At Hand But Vigilant Awareness is Necessary

Here's the Introduction to the latest BullBear Market Report:

 

In recent BullBear Market Reports I was able to successfully identify the apparent Wave 3 of (3) top at SPX 1344.  I advised BullBear Trading members that I was taking 40% of my long position off the table and closing long positions in Nikkei as well as exiting short US Treasuries.  I might have taken more of the position off but there was some doubt, until the Japan Panic hit, about the degree of the correction at…

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Added by Steven Vincent on March 19, 2011 at 9:00pm — 4 Comments

Intermediate Term High for Stocks

Here's the introduction to the latest BullBear Market Report:

 

The fear of a disruptive pan-Arabic revolution appears to have triggered a correction in world equities markets. Today’s high marked the B wave of an ABC corrective pattern and C down is now underway. My take at this time is that the downward correction is not yet over and a better buying opportunity lies ahead.…

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Added by Steven Vincent on March 1, 2011 at 8:30pm — No Comments

S&P 500 Technical Chart Analysis: Powerful Wave 3 Bull Market Rally Not Over Yet

Excerpt from the most recent BullBear Market Report for BullBear Traders members:

SPX Chart Analysis

The very long term monthly exponential moving averages will be in full bull market alignment as soon as the 20 moves above the 50, which appears to be imminent.…

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Added by Steven Vincent on February 19, 2011 at 1:30pm — No Comments

Introduction to 02/15/11 BullBear Market Report

Here's the introduction to the latest BullBear Weekend Report:



Introduction

US equity…

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Added by Steven Vincent on February 15, 2011 at 1:00pm — No Comments

THE EWI ARGUMENT: A Critical Analysis of Robert Prechter and Elliott Wave International (Part 2)

THE EWI ARGUMENT:

A Critical Analysis of Robert Prechter and Elliott Wave International

(March 2009-Present)

PART 2

 

 …

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Added by Steven Vincent on February 7, 2011 at 3:30pm — 6 Comments

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