Featured Blog Posts (30)

Today we talk about the Rodney Dangerfields of the market. These are the indexes that just get no respect. I call them the Lazarus indexes. They are beyond the point of being beaten up. They have been left for dead among the majority of investors.



The first Lazarus index is the VIX. Most commentators have long ago quit badmouthing it. They have simply given up and walked away because… Continue

First, a primer on Broadening Top Formations. The picture above is a reproduction from John Murphy's Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets, pp 150-152 on The Broadening Formation. There are several names for this formation (Expanding Triangle, Five-Point Reversal, Megaphone Formation). This pattern is an unusual variation of the wedge formation and is relatively rare. Thus,… Continue

This is an addendum to the recent BullBear Market Report: Back to the Future for the U.S. Dollar http://seekingalpha.com/article/154866-back-to-the-future-for-the-u-s-dollar

Yen Carry Trade

Prior to the Panic of…

Continue

Continue

THE BULLBEAR MARKET REPORT

July 25, 2009

A false breakdown has reversed sharply to new highs. Has a new Bull Market begun?

SUMMARY

Since the last BBMR on May 25th, the equities markets have made a top, established a new downtrend and then threatened to break down out of a head and shoulders formation. The break was rejected with a violent…

Continue

After a 12% nearly vertical run to new highs in the SPX every trader and investor is asking whether the markets can continue higher or whether we are at or near a top of some kind. For some time I have been using intermarket analysis to help gauge market trend. In particular I have been tracking the relationship between the forex and equities markets and found… Continue

Continue

Below is a short list of Commodity Trading Advisors that Trend Follow. Trend Following has been around since the time of Donchian. The interesting point is that Commodity trading advisors that really understand risk have been able to generate returns of 15-20% over long periods of time. Look at this short list. The bigger question is why aren’t more investors investing with Trend Followers or CTAs who trend follow? I personally have been investing in CTAs( commodity trading advisors) with the… Continue

Andrew Cardwell Charts for 11/12/09:…

Continue

THE BULLBEAR MARKET REPORT

May 25, 2009

A period of trendless consolidation has begun. Will it resolve to the updside or downside?

SUMMARY

Since the last BBMR on May 9th, the equities markets have made a top and generally (though not universally) the trend from the March bottom has been broken. There is no clear downtrend in force as yet and…

Continue