Here's yet another technical study which shows that we have been in a bear market since early 2011:
I'd been noticing relative weakness in the Midcaps so I decided to have a look. Mids cleanly outperformed SPX since the 2009 bottom but the ratio topped in April 2011, making a secondary lower high in July 2011. The bounce off the 2011 low was weak and a…Continue
The recent rally is in many ways comparable to the June 2011 rally. The technical setup has turned out to be very, very similar. The probabilities that markets will be chased higher on news this week does seem to be elevated, but this will almost certainly set up a magnificent shorting opportunity on a par with the July 2011 highs. So far we have seen "sell the news" reactions on the Spain banking bailout and Greece elections news and there is a good possibility we will see the same this…Continue
Added by Steven Vincent on June 19, 2012 at 1:14am — No Comments
Last week I posted analysis showing that the monthly RSI divergence which formed at the 2011 and 2012 highs is a very reliable indicator of a stock market decline of almost 28% lasting 11 months. I continue to see many, many companion signals which confirm this.
The Value Line Geometric Index is showing a technical condition which has also been a strong indicator of major…Continue
Added by Steven Vincent on June 16, 2012 at 10:00pm — No Comments
Relative Strength Index is one of the most widely recognized and followed technical indicators. The most common use of RSI is the identification of divergences:
Developed J. Welles Wilder, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements...According to Wilder, divergences signal a potential reversal point because directional momentum does not…
It’s just another day in the new financial-bizzaro world where any little piece of data may move the markets. Forget imploding Europe or mounting debt levels, the market “reportedly” went higher on a better than expected ISM Non-Mfg number.
You may ask, what the heck is the ISM Non-Mfg number anyways? It’s a gauge of new business orders from the Institute for Supply Management. Think of it as the “B list” of economic data reports, akin to the aging celebrity who appears on the…
Added by Larry Levin on June 6, 2012 at 10:34pm — No Comments
Short bounce here depends on what the Fed says thursday.apple rally nicely from support 555.00. Could to june 16th.Careful here
Added by arthur pullman on June 4, 2012 at 4:58pm — No Comments
"There is only one side to the stock market; not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side" --Jesse Livermore, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator
Added by Steven Vincent on June 3, 2012 at 6:30pm — No Comments