BullBear Trading: Stock and Financial Market Technical Analysis

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Alpha 20 Holds

I am setting up this group to share information on this Alpha2oHolds strategy.

Members: 3
Latest Activity: Nov 17, 2011

More thoughts

I am sorry that I have now abondoned the strategies that I started posting here.    

I believe I have found a better way and will share it with anyoune interested.

I implemented several portfolios in VictorVest using their winning strategies included Mighty Mites, and Thorton Thunder in a reverse fashions that allows VictorVest to issue Trailing Buy Stop Alerts to me when 7% trailing stop is triggered.  I will then review the chart pattern using stockcharts.com.  If the alert pass my inspection, I will issue a Buy Alert on the stock.

It is suggested entry on Buy Alerts with small position and a 7% trailing stop.  Exit when 7% trailing is treggered or sooner when the stock starts exhibiting negative chart behavior.  Take profit on half the position when the stock gains 20 % or more and peaking, and then hold the rest for the length of rise until the 7% trailing stop is triggered.

Backtests of the VictorVest Strategies indicate a Return of 43.55% for Thorton Thunders and 72% for Mighty Mites since the start of the current bull run on 10/3/11.  Since we included additional pattern examination in our approach, we should perform even better than purely following the Strategies and spend less on commission.

For those that may be interest in adopting my strategy and get my alerts, you may follow me at www.stocktwits.com/genyko

Genyko

2/25/2012

Discussion Forum

RSI Bullish Swing Strategy

Started by J CHAN. Last reply by J CHAN Sep 6, 2011. 18 Replies

I am starting a bottom fishing strategy using Bullish Reversal Patterns (opposite of those for the Profit Alert Filter) for entry with emphasis on those with clear RSI Bullish Swing Buy Signal.  Once the stock is selected, it will be exited when RSI…Continue

Market Timing

Started by J CHAN. Last reply by J CHAN Nov 17, 2011. 3 Replies

 Alpha 20 Holds is adding a Market Timing Criteria to prevent reentry during down market: Here is the current criteria for the market timing: 1.  Price of IWM:SPY below or above 7 Days EMA2.  Price of SPY:TLT below or above 7 Days EMA3.  Price of…Continue

IN-N-OUT

Started by J CHAN. Last reply by J CHAN Sep 26, 2011. 42 Replies

 7/14/11 OUT: CCIX, JAZZIN: VVTV, ATXPROFIT ALERT: HCCI, UPI and VHCContinue

Questions, Answers and Suggestions

Started by J CHAN. Last reply by J CHAN Jul 22, 2011. 2 Replies

This section is added for questions, answers and suggestions.

Comment Wall

Comment

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Comment by J CHAN on June 11, 2011 at 5:25pm

Prior comment on pull back low of 10% occured on AXK.

 

 

Comment by J CHAN on June 10, 2011 at 7:37pm

The trailing stop to protect profit for stock gaining over 15% will be changed from 10% to 11%.  As if someone knows where to drop prices in order to steal shares, the intra day pull back low yesterday was right at the 10% mark.

Comment by J CHAN on June 10, 2011 at 7:30pm

Correction: 4.97% is the Change in the Winner/Loser Ration, % Gain for the week is .85%.  not superior to shorting but stay in the game.

Comment by J CHAN on June 10, 2011 at 7:25pm

 

From 5/19/11 to today:  Alpha 20 Holds Statistics are as follows:

23 positions, 18 closed, 11 Winners, 12 Losers, % Win =47.83, overall G/L =+1.23%

Change for the weeks are:  2 new positions, 9 positions added to  closed, 3 new winners, no change in no of losers, % Win = 4.97%

 

When the market SPY dropped 2.16% for the week, Alpha 20 Holds gained 4.97%. Obviously superior to trying to short the market.  Just need to stay disciplined. OUT when the scan say OUT.  No question asked.

 

A good chunk of profit were left on the table on CSII, ATAI and OTEX.  Will look at refining the filter to tighten the Exit a bit.

 

 

Comment by J CHAN on June 10, 2011 at 4:34am

 

6/10/11

IN: None

OUT: None

 

ZAGG did not meet the criteria 2 Day EMA higher than 6 days ago, but since it reversed up on the day, it is given an extra day to meet the criteria.

Comment by J CHAN on June 9, 2011 at 12:25pm
To protect against market volatility, a STOP to be implemented immediately follow IN @ may be 5% below purchase price.  For stocks runs up at least 15%, a trailing stop around 10% is appropriate to protect profit.
Comment by J CHAN on June 9, 2011 at 9:30am

 

6/9/11

OUT: ATAI, GLNG, OMEX, XG

Comment by J CHAN on June 8, 2011 at 6:52am

Correction: the sort is Descending.

So, Down Marking Fighting Alphas will be the 30 TOP 100 Alpha Stocks with the best Victor Vest RV/RT Values. And Jail Breaking Alphas will be the 30 TOP 100 Alpha Stocks with the best VST/RT Values.

Comment by J CHAN on June 8, 2011 at 6:47am

 

6/8/11

IN: GLNG

 

Criteria Change -

Instead of:  Aroon Osc > 30

Replace with: Aroon Osc >5

 

Will start testing of two additional traps.  Instead of simply the TOP 30 Alpha Stocks, 

Down Market Fighting Alphas will be the 30 TOP 100 Alpha Stocks with the worst Victor Vest RV/RT Values.

Jail Breaking Alphas will be the 30 TOP 100 Alpha Stocks with the worst VST/RT DESC Values.

Comment by J CHAN on June 7, 2011 at 9:28am

6/7/11

OUT: GLNG, IPGP

 

It may well confirmed that there is no place to hire in a down turn.  It is best to exit ALL position and leave.  This downside move continue to make head fakes (1 on the downside and 2 on the upsdie) and who know whether the dip yesterday is not another one.  The fear will set in soon. Closeing price has reached the lower knthner channel and call for a bounce very soon.  The selection filtered by Alpha 20 Holds looks so good and ready to go as soon as the market turns.

 

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