10/11 Member Discussions - BullBear Trading: Stock and Financial Market Technical Analysis2024-03-29T12:40:49Zhttps://www.thebullbear.com/forum/topics/10-11-member-discussions?commentId=3301355%3AComment%3A57406&xg_source=activity&feed=yes&xn_auth=noI am sorry that I have now ab…tag:www.thebullbear.com,2012-02-26:3301355:Comment:668252012-02-26T20:38:02.506ZJ CHANhttps://www.thebullbear.com/profile/JOHNCHAN
<p>I am sorry that I have now abondoned the strategies that I started posting at Alpha 20 Holds. </p>
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<p>I believe I have found a better way and will share it with anyoune interested.</p>
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<p>I implemented several portfolios in VictorVest using their winning strategies included Mighty Mites, and Thorton Thunder in a reverse fashions that allows VictorVest to issue Trailing Buy Stop Alerts to me when 7% trailing stop is triggered. I will then review the chart pattern using…</p>
<p>I am sorry that I have now abondoned the strategies that I started posting at Alpha 20 Holds. </p>
<p></p>
<p>I believe I have found a better way and will share it with anyoune interested.</p>
<p></p>
<p>I implemented several portfolios in VictorVest using their winning strategies included Mighty Mites, and Thorton Thunder in a reverse fashions that allows VictorVest to issue Trailing Buy Stop Alerts to me when 7% trailing stop is triggered. I will then review the chart pattern using stockcharts.com. If the alert pass my inspection, I will issue a Buy Alert on the stock.</p>
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<p>It is suggested entry on Buy Alerts with small position and a 7% trailing stop. Exit when 7% trailing is treggered or sooner when the stock starts exhibiting negative chart behavior. Take profit on half the position when the stock gains 20 % or more and peaking, and then hold the rest for the length of rise until the 7% trailing stop is triggered.</p>
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<p>Backtests of the VictorVest Strategies indicate a Return of 43.55% for Thorton Thunders and 72% for Mighty Mites since the start of the current bull run on 10/3/11. Since we included additional pattern examination in our approach, we should perform even better than purely following the Strategies and spend less on commission.</p>
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<p>For those that may be interest in adopting my strategy and get my alerts, you may follow me at <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.stocktwits.com/genyko">www.stocktwits.com/genyko</a></p>
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<p>Genyko</p>
<p>2/25/2012</p> I think large volumes in sale…tag:www.thebullbear.com,2011-10-08:3301355:Comment:571122011-10-08T14:31:51.269ZAlihttps://www.thebullbear.com/profile/Ali
I think large volumes in sales may mean people may be square now and they have to buy something so may be little bit upside anyway I m not very experienced.
I think large volumes in sales may mean people may be square now and they have to buy something so may be little bit upside anyway I m not very experienced. I think large volumes in sale…tag:www.thebullbear.com,2011-10-08:3301355:Comment:571102011-10-08T14:31:04.739ZAlihttps://www.thebullbear.com/profile/Ali
I think large volumes in sales may mean people may be square now and they have to buy something so may be little bit upside anyway I m not very experienced.
I think large volumes in sales may mean people may be square now and they have to buy something so may be little bit upside anyway I m not very experienced. PPO Histogram sell signal in…tag:www.thebullbear.com,2011-10-07:3301355:Comment:574062011-10-07T16:54:30.983ZJ CHANhttps://www.thebullbear.com/profile/JOHNCHAN
PPO Histogram sell signal in hand. flop.
PPO Histogram sell signal in hand. flop. Excerpts from Tim Ord's Lates…tag:www.thebullbear.com,2011-10-07:3301355:Comment:571072011-10-07T07:55:42.877ZJ CHANhttps://www.thebullbear.com/profile/JOHNCHAN
<p>Excerpts from Tim Ord's Latest Article, </p>
<p>"A “Selling Climax” occurred at the 8/9 low which came in near 110 on the SPY and 1100 on SPX and most “Selling Climax” low are tested and that test came yesterday. For a bullish signal to be triggered, the test needs to be on lighter volume and close above the “Selling climax” low, which it did. The 100 day average of the TRIN hit into the intermediate term bullish level of 1.50 and suggest the potential uptrend will be of intermediate term…</p>
<p>Excerpts from Tim Ord's Latest Article, </p>
<p>"A “Selling Climax” occurred at the 8/9 low which came in near 110 on the SPY and 1100 on SPX and most “Selling Climax” low are tested and that test came yesterday. For a bullish signal to be triggered, the test needs to be on lighter volume and close above the “Selling climax” low, which it did. The 100 day average of the TRIN hit into the intermediate term bullish level of 1.50 and suggest the potential uptrend will be of intermediate term and could keep the rally going into year end. There is strong resistance near 1250 on SPX and could be where market is headed. The McClellan Oscillator did produce a positive divergence yesterday and a bullish sign. Sometimes the test of the “Selling Climax” is tested (that’s yesterday’s low) before the market heads higher and as long as the test is on lighter volume the bullish picture will remain."</p> How come I am the only perso…tag:www.thebullbear.com,2011-10-06:3301355:Comment:569302011-10-06T17:13:39.535ZJ CHANhttps://www.thebullbear.com/profile/JOHNCHAN
<p>How come I am the only person BS here? This is the only website that I found that allow BS about current market condition. Why isn't more people BS . . .??</p>
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<p>My son stops me from going long the last 3 times. I am think of split the money to invest into two portion with the ratio of which depends on trend. I then flip flop according to the calibrated PPO histogram signal. The signal so far has been excellent and why should I be concern?</p>
<p>How come I am the only person BS here? This is the only website that I found that allow BS about current market condition. Why isn't more people BS . . .??</p>
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<p>My son stops me from going long the last 3 times. I am think of split the money to invest into two portion with the ratio of which depends on trend. I then flip flop according to the calibrated PPO histogram signal. The signal so far has been excellent and why should I be concern?</p> Excerpts from Joe Duarte's la…tag:www.thebullbear.com,2011-10-06:3301355:Comment:568222011-10-06T09:30:15.224ZJ CHANhttps://www.thebullbear.com/profile/JOHNCHAN
<p class="text5">Excerpts from Joe Duarte's latest free reading:</p>
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<p class="text5">"The U.S. stock market turned around in dramatic fashion on Tuesday, as we humbly predicted that it might, in this space. The big question is whether this was the absolute bottom or just another stop along the way in what may be a long term bear market?<span><span> </span></span><br></br> <br></br> If we look at the chart of the S & P 500 (SPX), there are two indicators that say that this…</p>
<p class="text5">Excerpts from Joe Duarte's latest free reading:</p>
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<p class="text5">"The U.S. stock market turned around in dramatic fashion on Tuesday, as we humbly predicted that it might, in this space. The big question is whether this was the absolute bottom or just another stop along the way in what may be a long term bear market?<span><span> </span></span><br/> <br/> If we look at the chart of the S & P 500 (SPX), there are two indicators that say that this may well be the bottom. That's right. This is no misprint. This may be the bottom if the RSI (top bracket) and the MACD (bottom bracket) oscillators are correct.<span><span> </span></span><br/> <br/> Here is the way it works. If you look at the bottom that was made on August 9, you see that the RSI indicator made a very significant low (brown patch on RSI), while the MACD also made a huge low, both on the MACD histogram and the MACD graph.</p>
<p><span>Now, if you look at the low that was made on October 4, neither the RSI or the MACD went anywhere near the August lows, even though the S & P 500 made a significant new low.<span> </span><br/> <br/> These two indicators are telling us that despite the drama that has unfolded over the last few days, the selling had a lot less momentum than it did on August 9. In fact, the August 9 bottom was more than likely the momentum low for the break, while the October 4 low seems to have been the panic bottom. This is a well known occurrence in technical analysis which qualifies the current market as one in which a "double bottom" has been made.<span> "</span></span></p>
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<p><span><span>We have a positive divergence building but so soon as to calling a bottom ? A serious break from a 2 month bear flag ends so soon? Really. Not in the opinion of Stockcharts.com or Mr. Sy Hardings. Poor Mr. Fibtimer sits back there with nothing to do except counting his win on the Treasures.</span></span></p> The Case of Missing Bottom
It…tag:www.thebullbear.com,2011-10-06:3301355:Comment:567302011-10-06T08:13:07.469ZJ CHANhttps://www.thebullbear.com/profile/JOHNCHAN
<p><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/54231725?profile=original" target="_self"><img class="align-full" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/54231725?profile=RESIZE_1024x1024" width="721"></img></a> The Case of Missing Bottom</p>
<p>It is noted in the prior short term bottoms, the VXX:$VIX has moved to a ratio of 1.1 or less showing the market believe less volitility is possible in the future. This time around, VXX:$VIX not only did not bottom. It did not even make a serious dip. I am puzzled over this for the past day and can only concluded that the current up move is…</p>
<p><a target="_self" href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/54231725?profile=original"><img class="align-full" width="721" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/54231725?profile=RESIZE_1024x1024"/></a>The Case of Missing Bottom</p>
<p>It is noted in the prior short term bottoms, the VXX:$VIX has moved to a ratio of 1.1 or less showing the market believe less volitility is possible in the future. This time around, VXX:$VIX not only did not bottom. It did not even make a serious dip. I am puzzled over this for the past day and can only concluded that the current up move is so artificial and show an act of desperation to pop up the Market. Usually THEY will act only after some weakness of the down move has already occurred and certainly not this time around. We will see how many times they will be able to stop the decline at the point that they must do so. </p> vvxx:$vix starts to climb. Sh…tag:www.thebullbear.com,2011-10-05:3301355:Comment:567202011-10-05T14:31:25.238ZJ CHANhttps://www.thebullbear.com/profile/JOHNCHAN
<p><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/54231803?profile=original" target="_self"><img class="align-full" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/54231803?profile=RESIZE_1024x1024" width="721"></img></a> vvxx:$vix starts to climb. Short term direction switches to up. With the market broken important resistance levels, it may be best to sit out this up move and reenter short position when the up move exhausted. On the other hand, with VictorVest's BuySell Ratio reaches a low of .04, the up move can be explosive and quick.</p>
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<p>It is noted that the histogram is…</p>
<p><a href="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/54231803?profile=original" target="_self"><img width="721" src="http://storage.ning.com/topology/rest/1.0/file/get/54231803?profile=RESIZE_1024x1024" width="721" class="align-full"/></a>vvxx:$vix starts to climb. Short term direction switches to up. With the market broken important resistance levels, it may be best to sit out this up move and reenter short position when the up move exhausted. On the other hand, with VictorVest's BuySell Ratio reaches a low of .04, the up move can be explosive and quick.</p>
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<p>It is noted that the histogram is rather flat and indecisive. One would like to see a strong move one way or the other to set up for a move in the opposite direction.</p> It will be another hours befo…tag:www.thebullbear.com,2011-10-04:3301355:Comment:567162011-10-04T19:52:20.556ZJ CHANhttps://www.thebullbear.com/profile/JOHNCHAN
It will be another hours before the PPO Histograms will be issuing a signal. Given the sharp short covering at end, it may be safe to assume the (short term) bottom is in and the PPO Histogram Signal will happen.
It will be another hours before the PPO Histograms will be issuing a signal. Given the sharp short covering at end, it may be safe to assume the (short term) bottom is in and the PPO Histogram Signal will happen.