Current Orientation on U.S. Stocks
Keeping You on the Right Side of the Markets
Financial Market Technical Analysis
Elliott Wave :: Intermediate and Long Term Swing Trading
Get the balanced, objective analysis you need to profit from timing moves in the stock market, gold, precious metals, commodities, treasuries, bonds or forex!
Eventually, all bull markets will see significant corrections of price gains. During the last secular bull market from 1982-2000, SPX saw corrections of 14.18%, 35.94%, 20.36% and 24.51% on its way to a gain of 1419%.
Even the terrifying 1987 crash was nothing but a correction in a perfectly trending long term bull market.
In my view SPX and US equities in general are in the process of finishing a bull wave that started in November 2012. It is possible that the bull wave can see a significant extension from current levels before it completes, but analysis tends to support limited upside and substantial downside risk going forward. When equally viable Elliott Wave counts compete, the technician needs to examine the technicals, liquidity, sentiment and psychology of the market to see which count is better supported by underlying conditions. In my view there is substantially more evidence to support a correction than there is to support a bullish extension at this time. For this picture to change, we would need to see a fairly immediate and aggressive bull breakout move at the outset of 2015. Failing that, if we see a continuation of last week's selling, it is likely that a sizable correction will be nearby.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) is a leading defense and aerospace company. The stock has been one of the best performing equities over the past four years. Finally, LMT stock is pulling back over the past four trading sessions. The stock is now close to testing its 20-day moving average. Traders should note that this 20-day moving average is minor support so there is a good chance that the stock could move lower. The daily chart is signaling very solid support around the…Continue
Shares of Universal Display Corporation (NASDAQ:OLED) have one of the tightest, nastiest bear flag formations I have seen. There are high odds of this stock taking a major leg lower in the coming weeks. The first target is $108 and the second target is $90. The key here is the recent news from just days ago that many Asian companies are over-producing OLED displays. Asia and specifically China have a history of overproducing things and dumping them on the overall market, killing…Continue
Shares of CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX) fell after the transport stock reported earnings that beat Wall Street expectations. Does it sound weird, it is falling on an earnings beat? Upon a closer look, some accounting maneuvers allowed for that beat. If you back out those shady dealings, CSX Corporation actually missed earnings. This explains why it is falling. Being a technical chart trader, I have been bearish on CSX Corporation. I just cannot make sense of a railroad stock trading at…Continue
Shares of Boeing Co (NYSE:BA) surged in early trading, hitting new all-time highs at $208.61. However, the rally faded as the day dragged on with the stock giving back all the gains and closing flat at $206.44. This reversal from all-time highs increases the odds exponentially that a top is in on the aerospace company. Boeing Co has an official topping tail in place and should now start selling lower. The next wave of selling will take the stock to the daily 50 moving average, which also…Continue
When you are trading in Forex you will see that there are lots of people who are taking professional courses form the professional traders. Many people think that these courses are nothing important…Continue
The trading world is set up in a way that anyone can open a trading account and start trading forex without any experience whatsoever. Many seasoned traders can attest to going into forex as a means…Continue
Shares of Toll Brothers Inc (NYSE:TOL) are in trouble. The technical chart has one of the most powerful bear flag formations I have seen in the last year and it is likely near a major breakdown. The…Continue
Shares of Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) have rocketed higher in recent months after earnings showed signs of life. However, the run may have just topped out. Note this trend line stretching back to…Continue