BullBear Trading: Stock and Financial Market Technical Analysis

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In the last BullBear Market Report I called for a 5th wave rally in the new secular bull market in US stocks that began in November 2012.  The market did rally to a July high and now the the question on the table is whether or not the May-July rally represents the entirety of the 5th wave or merely the first wave of a larger scale sequence.  The analysis in this report tends to support the conclusion that we have seen the completion of a 5 wave bullish impulsive Wave (1) sequence from the November 2012 low and the market is now in the early stages of a Wave (2) correction.  Last weeks apparent low was most likely the A wave bottom to a larger, longer duration and probably more complex corrective process...

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Blog Posts

08/09/14 BullBear Market Report: Intermediate Term Bear Market?

Posted by Steven Vincent on October 8, 2014 at 1:57pm 0 Comments

08/09/14 BullBear Market Report: Intermediate Term Bear…

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U.S. Stocks Fifth Wave Rally in Progress

Posted by Steven Vincent on June 10, 2014 at 9:30pm 0 Comments

Since January I have been recommending long positions in Treasuries trading vehicles with a focus on the 20 Year+ Bond ETF, TLT.  Those positions performed very well, particularly relative to stocks, but it is time to exit and change orientation once again on Treasuries.  During the period that I was bullish on Treasuries I was neutral to bearish on stocks, calling for a corrective period.  January to May 2014 was indeed a largely corrective for stocks, but that has come to an end and a new…

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SAMPLE REPORT: Did a New Bull Market Start in November 2012?

Posted by Steven Vincent on February 19, 2014 at 11:30pm 0 Comments

01/02/13 BullBear Market Report:

Did a New Bull Market Start in November 2012?

Posted by Steven Vincent on January 3, 2013 at 2:12pm in BullBear Traders

 

Did a new Bull Market in US…

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Stocks Wave 1 Bull Market Completing; Precious Metals Rallying

Posted by Steven Vincent on February 12, 2014 at 5:30pm 0 Comments

Since making a correction low on February 3rd, U.S. stock markets have seen a nice 5 day rally off of support and from a downside extended technical condition.  My overall take is that the markets have just seen the start of a 5th wave of a sequence that started in November 2012 with a maximum upside potential of SPX 1900.  I see limited upside and lots of downside potential in US equities over the next 1-4 months.  The risk/reward is not very favorable for longs, particularly in comparison…

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Forum

The TJX Companies Inc Goes On Sale At This Level

Started by Bryan Leighton in General Market Discussion Nov 18. 0 Replies

This morning, leading off-price apparel and home fashions retailer The TJX Companies Inc (NYSE:TJX) is declining lower after reporting earnings. The TJX Companies Inc operates its stores under the…Continue

iShares Dow Jones Transport Avg May Be Best Short If This Is True

Started by Bryan Leighton in General Market Discussion. Last reply by Tejas Nov 4. 1 Reply

The iShares Dow Jones Transport. Avg. (NYSEARCA:IYT) has continue to rally to new all-time highs in recent days. Even today, with the market under pressure, transports are higher. Why? Simply put,…Continue

iShares NASDAQ Biotechnology Index Tops: Amgen, Gilead Exhaustion

Started by Bryan Leighton in General Market Discussion Oct 29. 0 Replies

Just a couple months ago, Janet Yellen issued a warning that biotechnology may be in a bubble. Today, the iShares NASDAQ Biotechnology Index (ETF) (NASDAQ:IBB) are 20% higher. While Janet Yellen was…Continue

Oil Into Key Support: Near Term Low Likely

Started by Bryan Leighton in General Market Discussion Sep 10. 0 Replies

The United States Oil Fund LP (NYSEARCA:USO) dropped sharply again today after oil inventories showed a bigger build than expected. With this fall, oil is now into major support and likely ready to…Continue

 
 
 

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